29 Oct · 13:55 MEZ · 🏸 Hungarian Int.Elite · Strong Favorite
NM
🇨🇭Nicolas A. Mueller
ELO 1476
FormLLLLW
89%Win chancemodel fair 1.12Pongratz
LP
🇩🇪Luis Pongratz
ELO 1656
FormLWWWL
11%
89%
Fair odds · Pongratz
Model 89% · 1.12vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 76%Total ~81 pts
0-2
76%
1-2
12%
2-1
7%
2-0
4%
Elo Gap+180
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+180)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)