28 Oct · 12:25 MEZ · 🏸 Hungarian Int.Medium · Model Lean
MK
🇸🇮Mark Korosa
ELO 1498
FormLWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Andersson
RA
🇫🇮Rasmus Andersson
ELO 1524
FormLWWLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Andersson
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~85 pts
0-2
42%
2-0
30%
1-2
16%
2-1
13%
Elo Gap+26
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)