28 Oct · 09:25 MEZ · 🏸 Hungarian Int.Low · Coin Flip
AR
🇳🇴Andreas Roksvaag
ELO 1480
FormLLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Szerecz
MS
🇭🇺Marton Szerecz
ELO 1484
FormLLWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Szerecz
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 38% · 2.61· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~85 pts
0-2
37%
2-0
34%
2-1
15%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+4
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.