29 Oct · 09:00 MEZ · 🏸 Hylo OpenLow · Slight Edge
JC
🇮🇩Jonatan Christie
ELO 1621
FormWLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Christie
MK
🇯🇵Minoru Koga
ELO 1605
FormWLLWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Christie
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 81% · 1.24· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~85 pts
2-0
40%
0-2
32%
2-1
15%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+16
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.