30 Oct · 12:30 MEZ · 🏸 Hungarian Int.Low · Coin Flip
MS
🇩🇰Mathias Solgaard
ELO 1611
FormWLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Solgaard
AC
🇫🇷Arthur Chardain
ELO 1607
FormWLWWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Solgaard
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~85 pts
2-0
37%
0-2
34%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+4
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.