4 Nov · 02:00 MEZ · 🏸 Korea Open WomenMedium · Model Lean
KL
🇲🇾Karupathevan Letshanaa
ELO 1491
FormLLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Saeheng
TS
🇹🇭Tonrug Saeheng
ELO 1508
FormLLWWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Saeheng
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 38% · 2.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~85 pts
0-2
40%
2-0
31%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+17
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.