4 Nov · 02:00 MEZ · 🏸 Korea Open WomenMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇰🇷Min Ji Kim
ELO 1511
FormLWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Lin
HL
🇹🇼Hsiang Ti Lin
ELO 1531
FormLLLWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Lin
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~85 pts
0-2
41%
2-0
31%
1-2
15%
2-1
13%
Elo Gap+20
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.