4 Nov · 02:00 MEZ · 🏸 Korea OpenMedium · Model Lean
YT
🇯🇵Yushi Tanaka
ELO 1604
FormLLLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Ubaidillah
MU
🇮🇩Moh. Zaki Ubaidillah
ELO 1628
FormLWLWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Ubaidillah
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~85 pts
0-2
42%
2-0
30%
1-2
15%
2-1
13%
Elo Gap+24
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.