4 Nov · 06:10 MEZ · 🏸 Korea Open WomenMedium · Model Lean
NP
🇮🇩Ni K D Amartya Pratiwi
ELO 1580
FormWLWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Pratiwi
PC
🇹🇼Pin-Chian Chiu
ELO 1550
FormLWWWL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Pratiwi
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~85 pts
2-0
43%
0-2
29%
2-1
16%
1-2
13%
Elo Gap+30
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.