6 Nov · 10:15 MEZ · 🏸 Norwegian InternationalLow · Slight Edge
EM
🇫🇮Eliel Melleri
ELO 1514
FormLLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Melleri
MM
🇩🇰Mads Emil Monke
ELO 1500
54%
46%
Fair odds · Melleri
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 40% · 2.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~85 pts
2-0
39%
0-2
32%
2-1
15%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+14
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.