11 Nov · 02:00 MEZ · 🏸 Japan Masters WomenElite · Strong Favorite
PB
🇺🇦Polina Buhrova
ELO 1461
FormLLWLL
96%Win chancemodel fair 1.04Okuhara
NO
🇯🇵Nozomi Okuhara
ELO 1745
FormLLWWW
4%
96%
Fair odds · Okuhara
Model 96% · 1.04vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 76%Total ~83 pts
0-2
76%
1-2
21%
2-1
2%
2-0
1%
Elo Gap+284
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+284)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)