11 Nov · 03:00 MEZ · 🏸 Kaohsiung Masters WomenLow · Slight Edge
NR
🇹🇭Nutnalin Rattanapanuwong
ELO 1456
FormLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Liang
KL
🇭🇰Ka Wing Liang
ELO 1472
FormLLWLL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Liang
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 77% · 1.31· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~85 pts
0-2
40%
2-0
32%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+16
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.