11 Nov · 03:00 MEZ · 🏸 Kaohsiung Masters WomenMedium · Model Lean
YH
🇹🇼Yi-Ting Hung
ELO 1450
FormLWLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Lee
XL
🇸🇬Xinyi Megan Lee
ELO 1478
FormLLLWL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Lee
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 28% · 3.62· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~85 pts
0-2
42%
2-0
29%
1-2
16%
2-1
13%
Elo Gap+28
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.