11 Nov · 02:00 MEZ · 🏸 Japan MastersMedium · Model Lean
ZH
🇨🇳Zhe An Hu
ELO 1649
FormLWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Hu
TC
🇹🇼Tien Chen Chou
ELO 1628
FormLLLWL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Hu
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~85 pts
2-0
41%
0-2
31%
2-1
15%
1-2
13%
Elo Gap+21
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.