11 Nov · 02:00 MEZ · 🏸 Japan MastersMedium · Model Lean
SY
🇹🇼Su Li Yang
ELO 1588
FormLLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Popov
TP
🇫🇷Toma Junior Popov
ELO 1604
FormLWWWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Popov
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 84% · 1.19· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~85 pts
0-2
40%
2-0
32%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+16
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)