10 Nov · 02:00 MEZ · 🏸 Japan Masters Women QualElite · Strong Favorite
AT
🇯🇵Asuka Takahashi
ELO 1518
FormLWWW
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Takahashi
KS
🇯🇵Kaoru Sugiyama
ELO 1434
FormLW
72%
28%
Fair odds · Takahashi
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 54%Total ~84 pts
2-0
54%
0-2
20%
2-1
19%
1-2
7%
Elo Gap+84
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Better recent form (3-1)