11 Nov · 02:00 MEZ · 🏸 Japan MastersMedium · Model Lean
PT
🇹🇭Panitchaphon Teeraratsakul
ELO 1660
FormLWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Teeraratsakul
KN
🇯🇵Kodai Naraoka
ELO 1638
FormLLLWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Teeraratsakul
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~85 pts
2-0
41%
0-2
30%
2-1
15%
1-2
13%
Elo Gap+22
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.