11 Nov · 05:20 MEZ · 🏸 Japan MastersMedium · Model Lean
SK
🇮🇳Srikanth Kidambi
ELO 1543
FormLLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kidambi
RG
🇩🇰Rasmus Gemke
ELO 1518
FormLLLWL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Gemke
Fair odds · Kidambi
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~85 pts
2-0
42%
0-2
30%
2-1
15%
1-2
13%
Elo Gap+25
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.