11 Nov · 03:00 MEZ · 🏸 Kaohsiung MastersMedium · Model Lean
YH
🇹🇼Yu Huang
ELO 1540
FormLWLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Su
WS
🇹🇼Wei-Cheng Su
ELO 1567
FormWWLWL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Su
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 31% · 3.20· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~85 pts
0-2
42%
2-0
30%
1-2
16%
2-1
13%
Elo Gap+27
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.