11 Nov · 12:10 MEZ · 🏸 Irish Open Women QualHigh · Clear Favorite
IV
🇫🇷Ines Villard
ELO 1484
FormLWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Cruz
MC
🇺🇸Micah Henares Cruz
ELO 1529
FormLWWWW
37%
63%
Fair odds · Cruz
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 91% · 1.10· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~85 pts
0-2
47%
2-0
24%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+45
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)