11 Nov · 11:35 MEZ · 🏸 Irish Open QualHigh · Clear Favorite
RL
🇬🇧Rex Lee
ELO 1488
FormL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Mork
TM
🇸🇪Tim Mork
ELO 1526
FormLLWLL
39%
61%
Fair odds · Mork
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 96% · 1.04· vig 4%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~85 pts
0-2
46%
2-0
25%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+38
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.