12 Nov · 10:00 MEZ · 🏸 Irish Open WomenLow · Slight Edge
MW
🇩🇪Miranda Wilson
ELO 1518
FormLWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Pavlova
GP
🇧🇬Gergana Pavlova
ELO 1530
FormLWWLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Pavlova
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 25% · 4.00· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~85 pts
0-2
39%
2-0
32%
1-2
14%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+12
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.