12 Nov · 10:00 MEZ · 🏸 Irish Open WomenLow · Slight Edge
FO
🇩🇰Frederikke Ostergaard
ELO 1509
FormLLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Ostergaard
SN
🇮🇪Sophia Noble
ELO 1499
FormLWWWW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Ostergaard
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~85 pts
2-0
39%
0-2
33%
2-1
14%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+10
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.