11 Nov · 12:10 MEZ · 🏸 Irish Open Women QualLow · Slight Edge
NS
🇯🇵Nanami Someya
ELO 1506
FormLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Someya
FA
🏸Fidha Mariyam Antony
ELO 1500
52%
48%
Fair odds · Someya
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 96% · 1.04· vig 4%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~85 pts
2-0
38%
0-2
34%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+6
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.