How to read a DeuceLab match page
Every match page packs a lot in. Here's what each piece means, top to bottom, so nothing is a mystery.
Win probability & confidence
The headline number is each side's win probability from our Elo model, calibrated so it means what it says. Confidence reflects how much we trust it — it's lower when one or both players have a thin match history, higher when the data is deep.
Predicted score & distribution
We show the single most likely scoreline plus a spread of plausible alternatives. A tight distribution means a predictable match; a wide one means it could go several ways — and we'd rather show that than fake precision.
Market fair odds & momentum
Where bookmaker odds are available, we strip out the margin (the "vig") to show the market's fair implied probability next to ours — a like-for-like comparison. For table tennis we also plot point-by-point momentum: the lead swinging through the match, reconstructed from the real point sequence.
Head-to-head & history
Finally, the prior meetings between the two and each player's recent form. After a match finishes the page stays live with the actual result and how our prediction graded — never a dead link, and never quietly deleted.