25 Jun · 20:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YH
🇨🇿Yurii Holovatiuk
ELO 1430
FormWWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Andrle
TA
🇨🇿Tomas Andrle
ELO 1454
FormWLLWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Andrle
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+24
H2H24-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.