27 Jun · 00:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LH
🇨🇿Leos Havrda
ELO 1333
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Havrda
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1295
FormLLLWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Havrda
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 47% · 2.15· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+38
H2H40-46
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.