26 Jun Β· 21:00 MESZLow Β· Slight Edge
VK
π¨πΏVlastimil Kolar
ELO 1573
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vejvoda
VV
π¨πΏViktor Vejvoda
ELO 1611
FormLLWWL
48%
52%
Fair odds Β· Vejvoda
Model 52% Β· 1.92vsMarket 51% Β· 1.94Β· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model β we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav β1.5 33%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+38
H2H7-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal β near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.