26 Jun · 13:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DL
🇨🇿Daniel Langer
ELO 1576
FormWWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Langer
FZ
🇨🇿Filip Zurek
ELO 1557
FormLWWWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Langer
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+19
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.