26 Jun · 20:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
FJ
🇨🇿Filip Jungman
ELO 1516
FormWLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Jungman
MF
🇨🇿Milan Fisera
ELO 1498
FormLWLLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Jungman
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+18
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.