26 Jun · 17:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DP
🇨🇿Daniel Priesol
ELO 1472
FormWWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Zurek
FZ
🇨🇿Filip Zurek
ELO 1557
FormLWWWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Zurek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+85
H2H17-35
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.