26 Jun · 18:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DP
🇨🇿Daniel Priesol
ELO 1472
FormWWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Priesol
RG
🇨🇿Roman Guliak
ELO 1433
FormWLLLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Priesol
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 28% · 3.59· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+39
H2H0-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.