26 Jun · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RV
🇨🇿Radomir Vavrecka
ELO 1525
FormLLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vavrecka
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Milota
ELO 1506
FormLLLLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Vavrecka
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+19
H2H6-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.