26 Jun · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Milota
ELO 1506
FormLLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Byrtus
SB
🇨🇿Samuel Byrtus
ELO 1562
FormLWWWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Byrtus
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+56
H2H5-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.