26 Jun · 20:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MB
🇨🇿Marek Blejchar
ELO 1556
FormLWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Blejchar
VB
🇨🇿Vitezslav Bosak
ELO 1538
FormLLLLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Blejchar
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+18
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.