26 Jun · 12:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MC
🇨🇿Milan Chalupnicek
ELO 1396
FormLWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Chalupnicek
MC
🇨🇿Milan Cetner
ELO 1385
FormLWLLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Chalupnicek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~81 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+11
H2H27-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.