26 Jun Β· 12:30 MESZLow Β· Slight Edge
MK
π¨πΏMiroslav Kowolowski
ELO 1540
FormWWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Langer
DL
π¨πΏDaniel Langer
ELO 1576
FormWWWWW
48%
52%
Fair odds Β· Langer
Model 52% Β· 1.92vsMarket 58% Β· 1.71Β· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model β we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav β1.5 33%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+36
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal β near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.