26 Jun · 16:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TH
🇨🇿Tomas Hrabec
ELO 1453
FormLLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Priesol
DP
🇨🇿Daniel Priesol
ELO 1472
FormWWLLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Priesol
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+19
H2H3-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.