26 Jun · 17:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
IP
🇨🇿Ivo Palmi
ELO 1349
FormLWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Motak
JM
🇨🇿Jiri Motak
ELO 1351
FormWWLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Motak
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+2
H2H11-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.