26 Jun · 17:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DH
🇨🇿Denis Hofman
ELO 1561
FormWWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kolar
VK
🇨🇿Vlastimil Kolar
ELO 1573
FormWLWWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Kolar
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~80 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+12
H2H3-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.