26 Jun Β· 21:00 MESZLow Β· Coin Flip
TK
π¨πΏTomas Kraninger
ELO 1559
FormWWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kraninger
MB
π¨πΏMarek Blejchar
ELO 1556
FormLWLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds Β· Kraninger
Model 50% Β· 2.00vsMarket 49% Β· 2.06Β· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model β we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav β1.5 31%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+3
H2H1-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal β near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.