26 Jun · 17:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1298
FormLLLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Levicky
ML
🇨🇿Matej Levicky
ELO 1444
FormWWWLL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Levicky
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
3-1
16%
Elo Gap+146
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+146)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)