26 Jun · 13:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇨🇿Vaclav Hruska Sr
ELO 1364
FormLLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Chalupnicek
MC
🇨🇿Milan Chalupnicek
ELO 1396
FormLWWWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Chalupnicek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~80 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+32
H2H22-29
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.