26 Jun · 08:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JP
🇨🇿Jiri Plachy
ELO 1485
FormWLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Bresky
JB
🇨🇿Jaroslav Bresky
ELO 1511
FormWLWLL
49%
51%
🌟Plachy covers set handicap as underdog 70% (20)
Fair odds · Bresky
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+26
H2H5-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.