26 Jun · 14:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MC
🇨🇿Milan Chalupnicek
ELO 1396
FormLWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Stefek
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stefek
ELO 1396
FormWWLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Stefek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 29% · 3.44· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~80 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+0
H2H10-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.