26 Jun Β· 09:00 MESZLow Β· Coin Flip
RV
π¨πΏRadomir Vavrecka
ELO 1525
FormLLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Danko
PD
π¨πΏPetr Danko
ELO 1526
FormWWWLW
50%
50%
Fair odds Β· Danko
Model 50% Β· 2.00vsMarket 56% Β· 1.79Β· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model β we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav β1.5 31%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+1
H2H2-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal β near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.