26 Jun · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇨🇿Vaclav Hruska Sr
ELO 1364
FormLLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Stefek
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stefek
ELO 1396
FormWWLWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Stefek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+32
H2H23-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.