26 Jun · 17:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RG
🇨🇿Roman Guliak
ELO 1433
FormWLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Hrabec
TH
🇨🇿Tomas Hrabec
ELO 1453
FormLLLWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Hrabec
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+20
H2H4-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.