26 Jun · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
J1
🇨🇿Jaroslav Strnad 1964
ELO 1373
FormLWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.001964
VS
🇨🇿Vaclav Hruska Sr
ELO 1364
FormLLLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · 1964
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+9
H2H66-75
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.