26 Jun Β· 12:30 MESZLow Β· Slight Edge
VS
π¨πΏVojtech Svechota
ELO 1676
FormWWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Svechota
MH
π¨πΏMartin Huk
ELO 1630
FormWWLLL
52%
48%
πHuk covers set handicap as underdog 83% (12)
Fair odds Β· Svechota
Model 52% Β· 1.92vsMarket 51% Β· 1.94Β· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model β we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav β1.5 33%Total ~80 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+46
H2H3-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal β near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.